Water AlliesTier 2
Filters
Current season
Every figure below — tier, winrate, EV, the matchup table, the
consensus decklist — is computed from the current
season (115 events).
See all-time pooled data.
decks
34
(1.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
154
74-61-19
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Consensus decklist
The cards across all 34 public Water Allies decklists. The bar and % show how many of those decks run the card. The material deck stays in deck order; main deck and sideboard rank by that %. ×N (main / sideboard) is average copies. Cards played in under 10% of decks are hidden. Click a card for full art.
Material Deck · 30 cards seen across these decklists
Spirit of Water
Ciel, Loyal Valet
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior
Zander, Prepared Scout
Lorraine, Blademaster
Grand Crusader's Ring
The Looking Glass
Backup Charger
Bulwark Sword
Censer of Restful Peace
Clarent, Reimagined
Clarent, Sword of Peace
Enfeebling Orb
Fire Resonance Bauble
Grande Aiguille
Huaji of Heaven's Rise
Manxome Armoire
Mercenary's Blade
Nullifying Lantern
Poisoned Dagger
Safeguard Amulet
Smoke Bombs
Sword of Seeking
Tariff Ring
Viridian Protective Trinket
Water Resonance Bauble
Wind Resonance Bauble
Inert Sword
Palvor Sword
Ranger Strides
Main Deck · 45 cards seen across these decklists
Fracturize
Frostbind
Frostsworn Paladin
Song of Frost
Freezing Hail
Corhazi Trapper
Snow Fairy
Aquifer Seneschal
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa
Nia, Mistveiled Scout
Snow White, Weiss Queen
Jueying, Shadowmare
Lunete, Frostbinder Priest
Halocline Scout
Lily, Marine Castellan
Castling Boon
Inspiring Call
Shangxiang, Fierce Princess
Lurking Assailant
Cerulean Decree
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin
Storm of Thorns
Tweedledee, Contrarian Poet
Heavy Swing
Sadi, Blood Harvester
Seasprite Diver
Spalling Cleanse
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster
Woodland Squirrels
Incapacitate
Four of Spades
Academy Guide
Stillwater Patrol
Vigil Rempart
Evasive Maneuvers
Deflecting Edge
Waterlogged Ranger
Expose Darkness
Xuchang, Frozen Citadel
Frozen Dismissal
+ 5 more cards seen in a handful of decks each.
Sideboard · 27 cards seen across these decklists
Song of Frost
Blanche, Sheltering Saint
Mystic Purifier
Stillwater Patrol
Lunete, Frostbinder Priest
Snow Fairy
Freezing Hail
Clarent, Reimagined
Clarent, Sword of Peace
Exploit Vulnerability
Viridian Protective Trinket
Frozen Dismissal
Inspiring Call
Magebane Lash
Nullifying Lantern
Nullifying Mirror
Safeguard Amulet
Shademist Priestess
Disenchant
Expose Darkness
Staggering Strike
Yuan Shao, Crown General
Fracturize
Nico, Rapture's Embrace
Orb of Sealing
Snow White, Weiss Queen
Tariff Ring
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, summed across all events. Mirrors excluded. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 6.9% | 9 | 3-4-2 | 44.4% | 46.2% | 40.8% | -4.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 13 | 3-10-0 | 23.1% | 29.4% | 39.9% | -4.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.0% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 57.0% | +4.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.3% | 10 | 3-7-0 | 30.0% | 35.7% | 38.5% | -5.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 5 | 1-2-2 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 44.4% | -3.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.6% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 47.9% | -1.0 |
| Water Fractal | 4.6% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 49.2% | -0.4 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 48.7% | -0.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 63.2% | +9.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.5% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 43.5% | -4.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 42.7% | -3.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 63.5% | +8.6 |
| Water Exia | 2.4% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 52.4% | +1.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.3% | 7 | 3-1-3 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 55.4% | +2.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.2% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -3.3 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.8% | +5.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.1% | -9.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.2% | +4.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 53.9% | +2.3 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.4% | +11.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 60.5% | +7.9 |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.3% | +13.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.8% | +11.3 |
| Luxem Mordred | 0.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 61.4% | +8.5 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.8 |
| Chess | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.6 |
| Wind Allies | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 0.4% | 5 | 2-1-2 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 46.9% | -1.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 59.5% | +7.1 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.2 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 0.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Water Suited | 0.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Alice | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crescendo | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.8 |
| Wind Nico | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.4 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fractal | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane Rai | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Oblation | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Assassin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Mordred | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Razorgale | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Silvie | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Suited | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Alice | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Alice | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Shadowstrike | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Fractal | 0.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Kongming | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.7 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Cleric | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Mirror Analysis
Across 3 events that had at least one mirror, 3 mirror matches are aggregated below. Named-spirit cards (e.g. "Sabrina, Spirit of Water") are collapsed to their basic equivalent so they don't read as flex-slot differences. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 3 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 61 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 61 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song of Frost | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Proto Archive Scout | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frostbind | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Snow Fairy | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Besieged Slash | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nia, Mistveiled Scout | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Xuchang, Frozen Citadel | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reveal the Hidden | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Seasprite Diver | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Inspiring Call | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Frostsworn Paladin | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Freezing Hail | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Halocline Scout | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Automated Gardener | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lunete, Frostbinder Priest | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Corhazi Trapper | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Castling Boon | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tweedledee, Contrarian Poet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Frozen Dismissal | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Yuan Shao, Crown General | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Snow White, Weiss Queen | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nefarious Timepiece | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mercenary's Blade | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nico, Rapture's Embrace | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stillwater Patrol | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Manxome Armoire | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cerulean Decree | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ciel, Loyal Valet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Storm of Thorns | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shademist Priestess | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bandit, Gaze Leader | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Magebane Lash | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Jueying, Shadowmare | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |